Calculate expected value for A/B test results

Last updated: May 3, 2026

Quick Overview

Given the following scenario about user conversion, calculate the the p-value.

Zillow
Statistics & Math
Data Scientist
Zillow
May 3, 2026
Data Scientist
Phone Screen
Statistics & Math
Hard

44

7

2,927 solved


Given the following scenario about user conversion, calculate the the p-value.

This statistics question from Zillow's Phone Screen tests your ability to apply mathematical reasoning to practical problems. The interviewer expects precise definitions, correct methodology, and awareness of assumptions and limitations.

What the Interviewer Expects
  • Derive results from first principles when needed
  • Handle complex scenarios with multiple interacting variables
  • Design experiments that account for real-world complications
  • Discuss advanced topics: Bayesian methods, causal inference, resampling
  • Connect statistical concepts to business decision-making
  • Identify subtle errors in reasoning (Simpson's paradox, survivorship bias)
Key Topics to Cover
Bayesian vs frequentist inference
Causal inference basics
Confidence intervals and significance levels
Hypothesis testing (H0, H1, p-values)
Probability distributions
Conditional probability and Bayes theorem
How to Approach This
  1. Define your hypotheses (H0 and H1) clearly before performing any test.
  2. Calculate required sample size BEFORE running an experiment, using power analysis.
  3. Remember the Central Limit Theorem: sample means become approximately normal with large n.
  4. Watch for Simpson's paradox. Always segment data by key dimensions.
  5. Distinguish between statistical significance and practical significance.
Possible Follow-up Questions
  • What if the sample size is very small?
  • How would you explain this result to a non-technical audience?
  • How would you design a follow-up experiment based on these results?
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Sample Answer
Setting Up the Problem

Start by formalizing the problem: 1. **Define the hypotheses**: H0 (null hypothesis) and H1 (alternative). Be precise about what you're testing. 2. ...

Solution Approach

**Compute the test statistic**: Apply the appropriate formula using the sample data. **Find the p-value**: The probability of observing a result this...


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