Calculate expected value for A/B test results

Last updated: May 27, 2026

Quick Overview

Given the following scenario about user conversion, calculate the the p-value.

Cruise
Analytics & Experimentation
Data Scientist
Cruise
May 27, 2026
Data Scientist
Onsite
Analytics & Experimentation
Hard

89

5

1,376 solved


Given the following scenario about user conversion, calculate the the p-value.

Cruise asks this during the Onsite to assess your experimentation skills. They want to see how you define success metrics, design controlled experiments, and interpret results with appropriate statistical rigor.

What the Interviewer Expects
  • Design complex experimentation strategies for tricky scenarios
  • Handle multi-armed bandits, switchback experiments, and quasi-experiments
  • Address long-term effects vs short-term metrics
  • Propose causal inference methods when randomization is not possible
  • Build a measurement framework that connects metrics to business value
  • Discuss organizational experimentation culture and maturity
Key Topics to Cover
Metric definition and success criteria
Funnel analysis and cohort analysis
Segmentation and heterogeneous effects
Simpson's paradox and ecological fallacy
Long-term vs short-term metrics
Sample size and power calculation
How to Approach This
  1. Define success metrics carefully. A good metric is measurable, actionable, and aligned with business goals.
  2. Run experiments long enough to account for novelty effects and weekly seasonality.
  3. Use funnel analysis to identify where users drop off for maximum optimization impact.
  4. Segment results by key dimensions (platform, country, user cohort) to catch hidden patterns.
  5. Consider network effects and interference between treatment and control groups.
Possible Follow-up Questions
  • How would you handle interference between treatment and control?
  • What would you do if a stakeholder wants to end the experiment early because initial results look good?
  • What if you discover a bug in the logging during the experiment?
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