Calculate probability for click-through rates

Last updated: October 12, 2025

Quick Overview

Given the following scenario about revenue per session, calculate the the p-value.

Confluent
Analytics & Experimentation
Data Scientist
Confluent
October 12, 2025
Data Scientist
Technical Screen
Analytics & Experimentation
Easy

42

5

1,945 solved


Given the following scenario about revenue per session, calculate the the p-value.

Analytics questions at Confluent evaluate your ability to define metrics, design experiments, and derive actionable insights from data. This Technical Screen question tests your end-to-end analytical thinking.

What the Interviewer Expects
  • Define clear success metrics aligned with business goals
  • Propose a basic experimental design with control and treatment groups
  • Interpret results correctly and draw reasonable conclusions
  • Identify obvious confounding variables
Key Topics to Cover
Network effects and interference
Long-term vs short-term metrics
Segmentation and heterogeneous effects
Simpson's paradox and ecological fallacy
Novelty and primacy effects
How to Approach This
  1. Define success metrics carefully. A good metric is measurable, actionable, and aligned with business goals.
  2. Run experiments long enough to account for novelty effects and weekly seasonality.
  3. Use funnel analysis to identify where users drop off for maximum optimization impact.
  4. Segment results by key dimensions (platform, country, user cohort) to catch hidden patterns.
  5. Consider network effects and interference between treatment and control groups.
Possible Follow-up Questions
  • How would you handle interference between treatment and control?
  • What would you do if a stakeholder wants to end the experiment early because initial results look good?
  • What if you discover a bug in the logging during the experiment?
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