Calculate probability for click-through rates

Last updated: May 18, 2026

Quick Overview

Given the following scenario about user conversion, calculate the the p-value.

Redfin
Statistics & Math
Data Scientist
Redfin
May 18, 2026
Data Scientist
Technical Screen
Statistics & Math
Hard

101

4

469 solved


Given the following scenario about user conversion, calculate the the p-value.

Redfin values data-driven decision making. This Technical Screen question assesses whether you can design experiments, interpret results correctly, and avoid common statistical pitfalls like p-hacking or Simpson's paradox.

What the Interviewer Expects
  • Derive results from first principles when needed
  • Handle complex scenarios with multiple interacting variables
  • Design experiments that account for real-world complications
  • Discuss advanced topics: Bayesian methods, causal inference, resampling
  • Connect statistical concepts to business decision-making
  • Identify subtle errors in reasoning (Simpson's paradox, survivorship bias)
Key Topics to Cover
Regression analysis
Probability distributions
Central Limit Theorem
Hypothesis testing (H0, H1, p-values)
How to Approach This
  1. Define your hypotheses (H0 and H1) clearly before performing any test.
  2. Calculate required sample size BEFORE running an experiment, using power analysis.
  3. Remember the Central Limit Theorem: sample means become approximately normal with large n.
  4. Watch for Simpson's paradox. Always segment data by key dimensions.
  5. Distinguish between statistical significance and practical significance.
Possible Follow-up Questions
  • How would you handle multiple comparisons?
  • What assumptions does this test make, and how would you validate them?
  • How would you design a follow-up experiment based on these results?
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Solution Approach

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