Explain instrumental variables with an example

Last updated: July 7, 2025

Quick Overview

Explain instrumental variables in simple terms and provide a concrete example.

Morgan Stanley
Statistics & Math
Data Scientist
Morgan Stanley
July 7, 2025
Data Scientist
Technical Screen
Statistics & Math
Hard

7

5

1,287 solved


Explain instrumental variables in simple terms and provide a concrete example.

Morgan Stanley values data-driven decision making. This Technical Screen question assesses whether you can design experiments, interpret results correctly, and avoid common statistical pitfalls like p-hacking or Simpson's paradox.

What the Interviewer Expects
  • Derive results from first principles when needed
  • Handle complex scenarios with multiple interacting variables
  • Design experiments that account for real-world complications
  • Discuss advanced topics: Bayesian methods, causal inference, resampling
  • Connect statistical concepts to business decision-making
  • Identify subtle errors in reasoning (Simpson's paradox, survivorship bias)
Key Topics to Cover
Conditional probability and Bayes theorem
Bayesian vs frequentist inference
Confidence intervals and significance levels
Probability distributions
How to Approach This
  1. Define your hypotheses (H0 and H1) clearly before performing any test.
  2. Calculate required sample size BEFORE running an experiment, using power analysis.
  3. Remember the Central Limit Theorem: sample means become approximately normal with large n.
  4. Watch for Simpson's paradox. Always segment data by key dimensions.
  5. Distinguish between statistical significance and practical significance.
Possible Follow-up Questions
  • What if the sample size is very small?
  • How would you explain this result to a non-technical audience?
  • How would you design a follow-up experiment based on these results?
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