Interpret no significant difference from an experiment

Last updated: June 8, 2026

Quick Overview

An experiment shows a 3% lift with p=0.08. What conclusions can you draw? What are the caveats?

Twilio
Analytics & Experimentation
Product Manager
Twilio
June 8, 2026
Product Manager
Take-home Project
Analytics & Experimentation
Easy

25

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3,529 solved


An experiment shows a 3% lift with p=0.08. What conclusions can you draw? What are the caveats?

This analytics question from Twilio's Take-home Project tests your ability to think critically about data. The interviewer expects you to consider confounding variables, selection bias, and the difference between correlation and causation.

What the Interviewer Expects
  • Define clear success metrics aligned with business goals
  • Propose a basic experimental design with control and treatment groups
  • Interpret results correctly and draw reasonable conclusions
  • Identify obvious confounding variables
Key Topics to Cover
Guardrail metrics
Novelty and primacy effects
Funnel analysis and cohort analysis
Metric definition and success criteria
Sample size and power calculation
Simpson's paradox and ecological fallacy
How to Approach This
  1. Define success metrics carefully. A good metric is measurable, actionable, and aligned with business goals.
  2. Run experiments long enough to account for novelty effects and weekly seasonality.
  3. Use funnel analysis to identify where users drop off for maximum optimization impact.
  4. Segment results by key dimensions (platform, country, user cohort) to catch hidden patterns.
  5. Consider network effects and interference between treatment and control groups.
Possible Follow-up Questions
  • How would you handle an experiment where the control and treatment groups are different sizes?
  • What would you do if a stakeholder wants to end the experiment early because initial results look good?
  • How would you handle interference between treatment and control?
  • What if you discover a bug in the logging during the experiment?
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Sample Answer
Problem Setup

In this experiment, we are assessing the impact of a new feature or change on conversion rates at Twilio. The specific analytical question is: "Does the new feature lead to a significant increase in c...

Methodology

To analyze the experiment, we will use a two-proportion z-test to compare the conversion rates of the treatment and control groups. Given the reported 3% lift and a p-value of 0.08, we can interpret t...


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